Category Archives: 2018 election

will the Democrats keep talking to their young voters?

Facebook9 Twitter1 Google+0Total: 10According to CIRCLE’s latest analysis of its own survey data, young people who were contacted by candidates and parties in the 2018 election cycle were much more likely to vote. Some of this is probably selection-bias: campaigns … Continue reading

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youth turnout rose more than others’ turnout in 2018

Facebook34 Twitter1 Google+0Total: 35(UCLA) On Feb. 11, Martin Wattenberg posted a Washington Post Monkey Cage article that received the headline, “In 2018, the turnout gap between young and old people didn’t really shrink at all.” He wrote, The Center for … Continue reading

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the Parkland movement and the 2018 youth vote

Facebook14 Twitter1 Google+0Total: 15According to my colleagues at CIRCLE (based on their own original survey), Almost two-thirds (64%) of youth said they had paid ‘some’ or ‘a lot’ of attention to news about the Parkland shooting. Young people who said … Continue reading

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democracy is coming to the USA

Facebook34 Twitter0 Google+0Total: 34Here is the racial/ethnic composition of the Democratic House caucus for the next Congress.* I do not display this ratio to endorse the Democrats (or to ignore the people of color who are GOP House members), but … Continue reading

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social media and the youth vote

Facebook18 Twitter0 Google+0Total: 18CIRCLE has released a highly substantive analysis of social media and the 2018 youth vote that is worth reading in full. It probably won’t surprise you that many young adults heard about the election on social media. In … Continue reading

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youth turnout up 10 points, youth opt for Democrats to an unprecedented degree

Facebook113 Twitter0 Google+0Total: 113These two graphs from CIRCLE tell the story of youth in the 2018 election. First, turnout rose dramatically. The blue line shows estimates of youth turnout using the only method that’s available immediately after an election. CIRCLE … Continue reading

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2020 will also be tough for Senate Democrats

Facebook7 Twitter0 Google+0Total: 7In 2016, everyone thinks the Senate “map” is terrible for Democrats. Forty-two Republican incumbents don’t face an election this year, whereas Democrats must defend 24 incumbents, 10 of them in states that Donald Trump won in 2016–sometimes … Continue reading

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youth vote 2018: what to expect and how to interpret the data

Facebook5 Twitter0 Google+0Total: 5In The Washington Post, Amy Gardner reads some tea leaves that might foretell youth turnout in November. On one hand, the good news: “In Pennsylvania, youth voters have made up nearly 60 percent of all new registrants, … Continue reading

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youth on the brink of a watershed election

Facebook32 Twitter0 Google+0Total: 32My CIRCLE colleagues are on a roll. Since October 9, they have released three reports based on their original national survey of Americans between the ages of 18 and 24: CIRCLE Poll: Youth Engagement in the 2018 … Continue reading

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new CIRCLE youth survey: high youth engagement in the 2018 election

Facebook15 Twitter0 Google+0Total: 15From today’s CIRCLE release: The 2018 midterms have the potential to be historic for youth political participation, with young people receiving campaign outreach, paying attention, and intending to vote at unusually high levels (34% “extremely likely” to … Continue reading

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