Category Archives: 2020 election

Trump’s polling bump in perspective

Facebook32 Twitter0Total32I’ve collected polls of France’s Emmanuel Macron (but this site shows less improvement for him); Italy’s Giuseppe Conte; New York’s Andrew Cuomo; Poland’s Andrzej Duda; and the UK’s Boris Johnson (the Tories now have their best support in the … Continue reading

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a Green recovery

Facebook22 Twitter1Total23 “We have a responsibility to recover better” than after the financial crisis in 2008, UN secretary general António Guterres warned. “We have a framework for action – the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and the Paris Agreement on … Continue reading

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unveiling CIRCLE’s data tool

Facebook41 Twitter1Total42Although it’s hard to concentrate on politics right now, a massively consequential election is coming up, and today CIRCLE unveils a data tool that can help nonpartisan groups, partisan outfits, campaigns, and the media make smart decisions regarding young … Continue reading

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the virus, the election, and democratic theory

Facebook74 Twitter1Total75 [It] seems to have been reserved to the people of this country, by their conduct and example, to decide the important question, whether societies of men are really capable or not of establishing good government from reflection and … Continue reading

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the youth vote in Super Tuesday

Facebook74 Twitter2Total76CIRCLE has released detailed information on youth voting in South Carolina and Super Tuesday. I’m seeing a lot of commentary on disappointing youth turnout, some of it leading with Bernie Sanders’ remark, “Have we been as successful as I … Continue reading

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the 2020 election in the shadow of the Iraq War

Facebook13 Twitter1Total14Polls usually show that foreign policy is a low-priority issue in US political campaigns. This year is no exception: asked to choose one priority, just 13 percent of prospective voters recently selected foreign policy. But I think the Iraq … Continue reading

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youth in the Iowa caucuses

Facebook67 Twitter1Total68Posted just now by CIRCLE: Young people had an extraordinary impact on the first-in-the-nation Iowa caucuses, representing a higher share of the overall vote than in previous caucuses and propelling Sen. Bernie Sanders to one of the top spots, according to … Continue reading

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new CIRCLE poll of Iowa youth

Facebook27 Twitter1Total28Here is one finding from CIRCLE’s survey of young Iowans, released today. The differences between younger and older Iowa Democrats on Sanders v. Biden are pretty striking. Although people always overestimate their chances of participating in future elections, 35% … Continue reading

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how to assess candidates in a presidential primary

Facebook9 Twitter1Total10Voters in a primary are a bit like members of a hiring committee. They have a batch of eager candidates and must choose one to represent their party and–they hope–hold the office. I have served on dozens of hiring … Continue reading

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why I am optimistic about the impeachment process

Facebook24 Twitter2Total26I find myself less anxious than most friends and commentators. Here are my largely sanguine responses to several current concerns about the impeachment process: It’s a mistake to focus on one specific scandal. Congress should persuade the American people … Continue reading

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