{"id":31151,"date":"2024-02-14T13:41:01","date_gmt":"2024-02-14T18:41:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/?p=31151"},"modified":"2024-02-14T13:41:03","modified_gmt":"2024-02-14T18:41:03","slug":"a-trillion-here-a-trillion-there-and-pretty-soon-youre-talking-real-money","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/?p=31151","title":{"rendered":"a trillion here, a trillion there, and pretty soon, you&#8217;re talking real money"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>In class yesterday, we discussed the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), which funds green technologies and jobs in disadvantaged communities. I tried to present the Act neutrally, with lots of room for criticism from several directions, but I also conveyed its magnitude and significance as a change of direction for America. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I think the <a href=\"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/?p=27030\">strategy<\/a> of the IRA was new to these students, which is not a criticism of them&#8211;the Act receives extraordinarily little attention and debate. However, its projected price-tag is above <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/02\/08\/us\/politics\/biden-inflation-reduction-act-cost.html\">$800 billion<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gsam.com\/content\/gsam\/us\/en\/institutions\/market-insights\/gsam-insights\/perspectives\/2023\/us-inflation-reduction-act-is-driving-clean-energy-investment-one-year-in.html\">Goldman Sachs<\/a>\u00a0estimates that it generated about $282 billion in investment and roughly 175,000 jobs in its first year alone. It&#8217;s also closely related to the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan and the $280+ billion CHIPS Act. In other words&#8211;like it or hate it&#8211;it is big.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In July 2023, a Washington Post <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/documents\/217c9d26-ade1-4fc8-8873-7a4084dbec5d.pdf?itid=lk_inline_manual_2\">survey<\/a> found that most Americans had not heard of the main provisions of the IRA. In that survey, 39% favored and 39% opposed the law, yet majorities expressed support for each of its main provisions.&nbsp;For instance, 65% favored tax credits for solar panels, although just 24% had heard of that provision in the law.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We discussed why this significant policy gets so little public attention. Some of my students&#8217; astute explanations were about the general flaws of our media landscape and public attention. I have previously noted the <a href=\"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/?p=31097\">odd politics<\/a> of this particular issue, which dissuades both Democrats and Republicans from talking about it much. Even the name of the &#8220;Inflation Reduction Act&#8221; is so misleading that it distracts attention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The students also made a good point that hadn&#8217;t been clearly on my mind before. They said that the numbers in the bill fail to capture attention because it&#8217;s hard to know what counts as a large amount. Politicians and reporters are always talking about billions for this and billions for that, and these numbers just wash over us.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So some comparisons might be useful. &#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The IRA is projected to cost over $800 billion by 2033. In the United States, we spend $795 billion per year on K-12 education: teacher&#8217; and administrators&#8217; salaries, facilities, school lunches, equipment, buses, and everything else. So one year&#8217;s spending on all of US schooling equals the projected cost of the IRA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The IRA has many provisions, and I am primarily interested in support for green manufacturing, which represents about $369 billion. This means that if we could take about half the money that it costs to operate all our schools for a year and spend it on green manufacturing, that would be the size of the IRA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Another comparison: the US federal prison system is allocated about $7.8 billion in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.justice.gov\/jmd\/page\/file\/1489431\/download\">president&#8217;s latest budget request<\/a>. Therefore, the annual amount of new subsidies for green manufacturing will be about the same as the cost of all federal prisons each year for ten years, due to the IRA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A third comparison: the GDP of Taiwan is about $790 billion, so all the goods and services sold by that country in one year are worth about as much as the IRA over ten years. Belgium is also a pretty close comparison. If you want to focus only the support for green manufacturing, then the IRA&#8217;s provisions are worth about as much as all the goods and services sold in the Czech Republic in a given year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>See also: <a href=\"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/?p=31097\">a different way in which the 2024 election is a failure for democracy<\/a>; <a href=\"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/?p=29611\">federal spending for both climate and democracy<\/a>; <a href=\"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/?p=27030\">the major shift in climate strategy<\/a><br><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In class yesterday, we discussed the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), which funds green technologies and jobs in disadvantaged communities. I tried to present the Act neutrally, with lots of room for criticism from several directions, but I also conveyed its magnitude and significance as a change of direction for America. I think the strategy of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31151","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31151","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=31151"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31151\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":31158,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31151\/revisions\/31158"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=31151"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=31151"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=31151"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}