{"id":24146,"date":"2021-04-16T09:36:08","date_gmt":"2021-04-16T13:36:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/?p=24146"},"modified":"2021-04-16T09:36:10","modified_gmt":"2021-04-16T13:36:10","slug":"wicked-problems-and-excuses","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/?p=24146","title":{"rendered":"wicked problems, and excuses"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Is the following true for social problems?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p><strong>Will + resources + planning = a solution<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>A corollary would hold:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p><strong>If there isn&#8217;t a solution, there must be a lack of will or resources or a bad plan.<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>I think this logic sometimes holds, and it&#8217;s the basis for holding responsible parties accountable. They may not have cared enough, or spent enough, or thought well enough about a problem. If not, they should be called on it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the other hand, the formula overlooks the power of sheer chance. Sometimes decision-makers are just lucky or unlucky. And it ignores the possibility that some problems may be <em>really<\/em> hard: &#8220;wicked problems,&#8221; in the best-remembered phrase from the famous article by Horst Rittel and Melvin M. Webber, &#8220;Dilemmas in a General Theory of Planning,&#8221;\u00a0<em>Policy Sciences<\/em>\u00a04.2 (1973), 155-169. (We discussed this article recently in my introduction to public policy course.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rittel and Webber write, \u201cSolutions to wicked problems are not true-or-false, but good-or-bad\u201d (p. 162). Yet people disagree about what is good. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWith wicked problems&#8230; any solution, after being implemented, will generate waves of consequences over an extended&#8211;virtually an unbounded&#8211;period of time\u201d (p. 163). Since change keeps happening, there is no point when you can definitively assess the impact of a policy (p. 163). Also, there is no agreed-upon criterion for a successful policy (p. 162), and therefore, no way to know whether your solution succeeded. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cEvery wicked problem can be considered to be a symptom of another problem\u201d (p. 165). Thus we can endlessly disagree about the center or \u201clocus\u201d of the problem. This is one reason that \u201cThere is no definitive formulation of a wicked problem\u201d (p. 161). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You can\u2019t learn by trial-and-error, because every time you implement a policy, you change the world permanently (p. 163). You can\u2019t start a social experiment over from scratch and try something different. And because your policy affects real people, you have \u201cno right to be wrong\u201d (p. 165).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is no way to develop an exhaustive list of all the possible solutions (p. 164). And  \u201cEvery wicked problem is essentially unique\u201d (164)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One upshot of Rittel and Webber&#8217;s argument could be <em>humility<\/em>: do not overestimate one&#8217;s own ability to solve social problems. Another would be <em>decentralization<\/em>, whether to small governing units or to firms in a market. Decentralization is a way of mitigating damage and allowing local solutions to fit local circumstances. A third upshot would be <em>participation<\/em>: if problems are deeply contestable, maybe everyone should be involved in addressing them. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yet another takeaway might be defeatism and tolerance for injustice, but that seems the wrong lesson to draw.<br><br>See also: <a href=\"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/?p=23821\">Complexities of Civic Life<\/a>; <a href=\"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/?p=15722\">qualms about Effective Altruism<\/a>; <a href=\"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/?p=19183\">The truth in Hayek<\/a>; <a href=\"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/?p=21507\">trying to keep myself honest<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Is the following true for social problems? Will + resources + planning = a solution A corollary would hold: If there isn&#8217;t a solution, there must be a lack of will or resources or a bad plan. I think this logic sometimes holds, and it&#8217;s the basis for holding responsible parties accountable. They may not [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[26,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24146","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-civic-theory","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24146","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=24146"}],"version-history":[{"count":13,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24146\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24203,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24146\/revisions\/24203"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=24146"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=24146"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=24146"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}