{"id":17741,"date":"2016-11-18T15:40:58","date_gmt":"2016-11-18T20:40:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/?p=17741"},"modified":"2016-11-18T15:40:58","modified_gmt":"2016-11-18T20:40:58","slug":"circles-full-post-election-analysis-of-the-youth-vote","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/?p=17741","title":{"rendered":"CIRCLE&#8217;s full post-election analysis of the youth vote"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>(By the CIRCLE staff, cross-posted from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.civicyouth.org\">civicyouth.org<\/a>.)\u00a0Since Election Day, CIRCLE\u2019s analysis has focused on <a href=\"http:\/\/civicyouth.org\/too-close-to-call-young-people-reject-trump-older-voters-key-to-his-unexpectedly-strong-performance\/\">whom<\/a>\u00a0young people voted for, <a href=\"http:\/\/civicyouth.org\/an-estimated-24-million-young-people-vote-in-2016-election\/\">how many<\/a>\u00a0voted, and\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/civicyouth.org\/more-young-white-men-more-college-grads-among-2016-youth-electorate\/\">which segments<\/a> of the youth population cast their ballots\u2014placing each in historical context by examining trends from recent elections. Today\u2019s analysis looks more deeply at the youth vote in the 2016 presidential race, offering a breakdown of young people\u2019s support for each major candidate and for the political parties they represent. We also consider the long-term implications, for both Democrats and Republicans, of a youth electorate that is increasingly loathe to identify strongly with either major party.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/civicyouth.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/CIRCLE-Full-Exit-Poll-Analysis_Final.pdf\">READ OUR FULL ANALYSIS HERE<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Major\u00a0findings include:<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Youth Electorate<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>CIRCLE\u00a0analysis suggests that young people voted at a similar rate than in 2012 \u2013 around 50%. In 11 battleground states, on aggregate, 55% of youth turned out to vote.<\/li>\n<li>The racial and ethnic composition of the 2016 youth electorate closely mirrored the general population of young citizens, and remained as diverse as it has been since 2008, though this year there was a surge of young, White, male voters.<\/li>\n<li>Young people without college experience, already historically underrepresented, made up a smaller share of the young people who cast ballots than in recent elections.<\/li>\n<li>Less than 4 in 10 young voters identified with the Democratic Party and less than 3 in 10 identified with the Republican Party, suggesting that America\u2019s two major parties are having trouble attracting a substantial youth base.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/civicyouth.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/PartyIDandIdeology.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-9264\" src=\"http:\/\/civicyouth.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/PartyIDandIdeology.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 891px) 100vw, 891px\" srcset=\"http:\/\/civicyouth.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/PartyIDandIdeology.jpg 891w, http:\/\/civicyouth.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/PartyIDandIdeology-300x130.jpg 300w, http:\/\/civicyouth.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/PartyIDandIdeology-768x332.jpg 768w\" alt=\"partyidandideology\" width=\"600\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>The Youth Vote for Trump and Clinton<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>President-elect Trump lost the youth vote overall by 55% to 37%, but he garnered support from some segments of the youth electorate: Whites, evangelicals, and young people in rural areas.<\/li>\n<li>While Secretary Clinton won by large margins among demographic groups like unmarried young women and youth of color, she lacked key support from young Whites, young men, and young White moderates.<\/li>\n<li>President-elect Trump drew significant support from young people whose ideas and concerns tracked closely with the key themes of his campaign: the state of the country,stronger immigration controls, and a the perceived untrustworthiness of his opponent.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/civicyouth.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/RaceGenderEd-Graph.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-9261\" src=\"http:\/\/civicyouth.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/RaceGenderEd-Graph.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 825px) 100vw, 825px\" srcset=\"http:\/\/civicyouth.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/RaceGenderEd-Graph.jpg 825w, http:\/\/civicyouth.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/RaceGenderEd-Graph-300x197.jpg 300w, http:\/\/civicyouth.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/RaceGenderEd-Graph-768x505.jpg 768w\" alt=\"racegendered-graph\" width=\"600\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>Implications for the Future<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Young people are clamoring for significant change, though there are deep divisions on what that change should look like. Youth also seem increasingly skeptical of the two major political parties\u2019 ability to bring the change they seek.<\/li>\n<li>Moderates, Independents, and other young people who eschew the\u00a0ideological extremes and strong party identification, appear to be a rising force in the youth electorate. They may also be harder to mobilize if they don\u2019t engage with the traditional party\u2014and partisan\u2014organizations that for many youth provide structures and opportunities for political and broader civic engagement.<\/li>\n<li>There\u2019s another national election in two years! Only one in five young young people voted in the 2014 midterms, and after an election in which many youth were disappointed with both nominees (and most youth voted for the losing candidate) it may be even harder to keep youth politically motivated. Stronger civic education and strategic, intentional youth outreach remains key.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(By the CIRCLE staff, cross-posted from civicyouth.org.)\u00a0Since Election Day, CIRCLE\u2019s analysis has focused on whom\u00a0young people voted for, how many\u00a0voted, and\u00a0which segments of the youth population cast their ballots\u2014placing each in historical context by examining trends from recent elections. Today\u2019s analysis looks more deeply at the youth vote in the 2016 presidential race, offering a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[32,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17741","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-2016-election","category-uncategorized"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17741","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=17741"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17741\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17743,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17741\/revisions\/17743"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=17741"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=17741"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=17741"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}