{"id":16367,"date":"2016-02-03T09:24:31","date_gmt":"2016-02-03T14:24:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/?p=16367"},"modified":"2016-02-03T09:24:31","modified_gmt":"2016-02-03T14:24:31","slug":"sanders-got-about-as-many-youth-votes-in-iowa-as-everyone-else-combined","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/?p=16367","title":{"rendered":"Sanders got about as many youth votes in Iowa as everyone else combined"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>My colleagues at <a href=\"http:\/\/civicyouth.org\/\">CIRCLE<\/a> are producing a stream of detailed\u00a0and almost instantaneous analysis of the caucuses and primaries. Keep checking the CIRCLE homepage for the latest.<\/p>\n<p>Here I use CIRCLE&#8217;s\u00a0evidence to\u00a0illustrate how\u00a0Sen. Sanders&#8217; dominated the youth vote in the Iowa caucuses. Consider the Democratic and Republican\u00a0caucuses as one event: the voter first chooses which party to caucus with, and then selects a candidate. By that reasoning, about 50,000 young Iowans (ages 17-29) caucused, and about 58% of them chose\u00a0the Democratic side. Sanders drew 84%\u00a0of the Democratic youth, while the Republican\u00a0youth split their support. As a result, Sanders drew\u00a0about 49% of all the young caucus-goers put together. Cruz came in second with about 11% of all the youth, followed very closely by Rubio, then Clinton, and then Trump.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-16368 alignnone\" src=\"http:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/images\/Iowa-2016.png\" alt=\"Iowa 2016\" width=\"495\" height=\"316\" srcset=\"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/images\/Iowa-2016.png 495w, https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/images\/Iowa-2016-300x192.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 495px) 100vw, 495px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Sanders got about eight times as many votes as\u00a0his main opponent on the Democratic side, and about eight times as many as Trump, with whom he is sometimes paired as a supposed enemy of &#8220;the\u00a0establishment.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>That raises such questions\u00a0as: Can Sen. Sanders do better among older people in other states? Can he perform as well among youth in states where young Democratic voters are far more diverse than they are in Iowa? Can Sec. Clinton narrow the generation\u00a0gap, and can she get out the youth vote if she wins the nomination? (She only drew about 4,000-5,000 young Iowans on Monday and came in fourth in that age bracket, which ought to ring some alarms.) Finally,\u00a0where\u00a0will\u00a0young Republicans\u00a0land\u00a0as their field narrows?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>My colleagues at CIRCLE are producing a stream of detailed\u00a0and almost instantaneous analysis of the caucuses and primaries. Keep checking the CIRCLE homepage for the latest. Here I use CIRCLE&#8217;s\u00a0evidence to\u00a0illustrate how\u00a0Sen. Sanders&#8217; dominated the youth vote in the Iowa caucuses. Consider the Democratic and Republican\u00a0caucuses as one event: the voter first chooses which party [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":16368,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16367","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-2016-election"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16367","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16367"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16367\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16372,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16367\/revisions\/16372"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/16368"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16367"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16367"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/peterlevine.ws\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16367"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}